Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.765287 5.146322 5.565427 6.065020 6.650387 7.322412 8.164278
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.329775 4.832192 5.419981 6.172761 7.134044 8.355944 10.092736
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.009102 4.592545 5.310336 6.288202 7.639829 9.541801 12.653032
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.836941 4.508043 5.376025 6.637549 8.542793 11.578621 17.620329
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.498029 4.172444 5.071683 6.433504 8.616642 12.426541 21.371186
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.338043 4.056219 5.050944 6.639932 9.404172 14.930449 32.348944
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.174776 3.918749 4.983456 6.767383 10.121547 17.863932 54.583033
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.958671 3.687325 4.751556 6.590201 10.233469 19.590794 87.129447
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.753919 3.456306 4.497650 6.338669 10.138698 20.813065 148.906823
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.712505 3.460675 4.609990 6.759641 11.690851 29.740600 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.749863 3.586657 4.936443 7.676131 15.126272 64.274900 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.665265 3.515482 4.922031 7.906722 16.900749 120.656877 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.509119 3.335270 4.726394 7.774488 17.718100 251.974393 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.379436 3.188158 4.575151 7.719617 18.944808 3561.768093 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.267681 3.062060 4.449264 7.704441 20.519229 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.202866 3.009138 4.456035 8.039165 24.751140 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.070966 2.832746 4.204150 7.622222 23.915758 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.005187 2.765585 4.161915 7.787137 27.822889 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.936601 2.688536 4.091352 7.857654 31.701183 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.843725 2.563018 3.909302 7.549168 31.299102 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.752556 2.435982 3.714752 7.169859 29.650847 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.732841 2.434465 3.782133 7.640049 40.901043 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.748498 2.497703 3.997899 8.732039 90.246482 NaN NaN